Nikki Haley’s path to the GOP presidential nomination is portrayed as a challenging state-by-state battle against Trump, with delegate rules favoring blowouts.
Despite her efforts to sway public opinion, the GOP’s delegate allocation system heavily benefits front-runners like Trump.
Josh Putnam, a political scientist, said, “A number of people say the rules are Trump’s firewall. I guess that’s true, but it’s a conditional firewall: It only exists if Trump is super popular.”
“And he’s popular enough that he will trigger most of these winner-take-all thresholds in the states,” he warned.
Haley’s campaign faces tough odds in states like South Carolina, where delegate rules favor majority winners.
Haley said, “You need 1,215 delegates. Coming out of New Hampshire, he had 32, I had 17. We’ve got multiple states after South Carolina — within 10 days, we’re going to have hit 20 states. Let it happen.”
“Don’t discount that I defeated a dozen fellas,” continued the former governor.
“Don’t discount that I ended up with 20% in Iowa when y’all said I wouldn’t make it. Don’t discount that I got 43% New Hampshire, and don’t discount me now,” she insisted.
“Why would I get out as long as we keep it competitive?” asked Haley.
With a focus on endurance and fundraising, Haley aims to capitalize on states allowing independents and Democrats in GOP primaries.
However, the majority of Super Tuesday and later delegates are awarded winner-take-all, posing a significant challenge to Haley’s strategy.
Despite her determination, the delegate rules heavily favor Trump, making her path to victory a steep uphill battle in the current GOP landscape.
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