Former DNC chair Howard Dean predicted that Donald Trump will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination but then lose the general election.
Dean cited Trump’s unwavering base as ensuring his nomination, but said it’s not large enough to win nationally.
He also argued Trump faces legal jeopardy as he has 91 charges and one conviction already for falsifying business records.
Howard Dean said, “I think there’s some other things going on, too. The things that are different are that Trump has a core group that’s not going to dessert him under any circumstances, definitely enough to get him the nomination. It’s not enough to win.”
“Secondly there’s something else at play that wasn’t in play in either of those other two races, and that is Trump is under indictment. He has 91 charges and he’s already been convicted of one charge of falsifying his business expenses – excuse me – falsifying his business value, so he’s cheated the banks and so forth,” explained the chairman.
Dean continued, “It’s a little bit of a different situation. I do think Haley is playing the long game here. If we get into August and it’s time for the Republican National Convention and Trump is on trial or has some convictions, there’s going to be an opening for somebody. Then there really is going to be a divided Republican convention. It’s going to be really hard for the professionals and the people who know what they’re doing to nominate a guy who is a convict.”
“That’s where a second person could come up. The only second person left is Nikki Haley,” concluded Dean.
He assessed Haley is playing the long game and positioning herself as the only remaining second option if Trump’s legal issues catch up to him before the nomination is decided.