President Joe Biden is trailing former President Donald Trump in seven swing states for the 2024 election, with immigration being a key factor affecting Biden’s chances of reelection.
A Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll shows Trump leading by three to ten points in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Nearly two-thirds of swing-state voters attribute the rise in migrants crossing the U.S.-Mexico border to Biden.
Eye-popping numbers for Trump in battleground states. This should be a 5 alarm 🚨 fire for the Biden campaign https://t.co/TGQYnQv1pA
— Alyssa Farah Griffin (@Alyssafarah) January 31, 2024
“This should be a 5 alarm fire for the Biden campaign,” Griffin wrote on X.
The poll also indicates that Trump’s legal issues are a concern for voters, with a majority stating they wouldn’t support him if found guilty or sentenced to prison.
The survey suggests that Trump is gaining support among key Democratic constituencies, posing a significant challenge to Biden’s reelection prospects.
“The Suffolk/USAToday Poll is showing what we’re all seeing, which is NOT a normal weak showing 1-year out for an incumbent president seeking re-election,” pollster Richard Baris said.
“Historically, he’s far below Barack Obama at this point (who won) and significantly lower than Donald Trump (who lost). H.W. Bush was higher, but his approval was falling RAPIDLY from far higher than Biden has ever been,” he added.
“It’s not just that these demographic groups are ‘abandoning’ Joe Biden. Donald Trump is gaining among key Democratic constituencies, Hispanic, Under 35. It’s the one poll NOT showing gains among Black voters. Clearly he is in the consensus,” Baris said.
“I’d just also note that ‘enthusiasm’ and ‘voting likelihood’ are not the same thing. Higher turnout benefits Trump. People need to get used to understanding that now,” he wrote.
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