Donald Trump is leading Joe Biden in Arizona and Georgia, but Biden is ahead in Wisconsin, according to a poll for DailyMail.com.
Trump has a lead among Hispanic voters in Arizona and is favored by independents in Georgia.
Biden’s coalition is holding up better in Wisconsin. (Trending: Olympic Gold Medalist Sentenced For Jan 6)
James Johnson, co-founder of J.L. Partners said, “Trump is ahead by a fair margin in two states Biden cannot afford to lose – Arizona and Georgia.”
“Buoyed by a solid performance amongst his base, and a lead with independents in the two states, Trump is the early favorite.”
“Though Biden still has women and graduates on side, as well as Black voters, Trump is narrowing the gap with the latter group as well as Hispanics,” he continued.
“On the flip side, Biden can take heart from holding onto Wisconsin by an increased margin than in 2020,” explained the pollster.
“Is there a new pattern at play with Trump making gains in states with a more diverse electorate while white women stick with Biden?” asked Johnson.
“We believe our polling, which makes voters choose “Someone else” before being given RFK Jr and other independents as an option, gives a more accurate picture at this stage of Kennedy’s reach – closer to five to seven percent than the double-digit vote shares recorded in some other surveys,” concluded Johnson.
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