An NBC News poll on a hypothetical general election match-up between Joe Biden and Donald Trump has shown Trump leading for the first time, although within the margin of error.
The trend in these polls has shifted from a lead for Biden in July to a tie in September, and now a lead for Trump in November.
Demographic breakdowns show Biden leading among black voters, women, and white voters with college degrees, while Trump leads among white voters, male voters, and rural voters.
The poll also found disapproval of Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict, reflecting division within the Democratic Party.
Trump’s lead over GOP primary challengers remains a steady positive for his campaign.
CNN is visibly shaken at how well Donald Trump is polling.
"Twenty-two percent of black voters behind Trump? That is not seen in the modern era for a Republican frontrunner, right?"
“It’s startling."
NY Times poll shows Trump demolishing Biden in 2024. pic.twitter.com/41AjmWeimn
— AnalyzingAmerica (@AnalyzAmerica) November 12, 2023
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