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Uncertainty Creeps Back Into US Treasury Market

via CNN
This article was originally published at StateOfUnion.org. Publications approved for syndication have permission to republish this article, such as Microsoft News, Yahoo News, Newsbreak, UltimateNewswire and others. To learn more about syndication opportunities, visit About Us.

The fixed income market is experiencing turbulence as investors reassess their expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Following a strong U.S. jobs report and the Fed’s cautious stance on the economy, investors are less certain about the timing and extent of rate cuts.

Yields on 10-year Treasuries have risen, and concerns about increased bond supply are dampening optimism.

While some foresee potential rate hikes, others believe the rally in long-term Treasuries was excessive and are adjusting their positions.

“The combination of the jobs numbers and the Fed press conference has really caused a splintering in the potential outcomes,” investment strategist Robert Tipp said.

“Now maybe we’ll start scaling in at 4.25% on the view that we could potentially go to 4.5%, pricing a … higher-for-longer scenario,” Vanguard’s John Madziyire said.

The anticipated substantial government bond issuance this year is also contributing to investor wariness.

“We are more exposed to the front end of the curve because we believe there’s a lot less interest rate risk there,” Tolou Capital Management CEO Spencer Hakimian said.

“It doesn’t mean they can’t cut rates, it just means their pace is a little slower,” he said.

Despite the rise in yields, stock markets have remained relatively unaffected.

Overall, while economic data may alter the timing of rate cuts, the general sentiment leans towards lower rates as long as inflation remains subdued.

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