President Biden and Democratic allies are pointing to former President Obama’s re-election in 2012 as a reminder that early polls are not always predictive, as Obama was trailing in the polls a year before his re-election.
However, Biden currently faces more significant deficits than Obama did in 2011.
Biden trails Trump in a likely 2024 election rematch and has lower approval ratings than Obama did. (Trending: Donald Trump Confronts Bud Light CEO.)
MSNBC's Steve Kornacki:
A new national NBC News poll shows President Biden’s approval rating has declined to the lowest level of his presidency. pic.twitter.com/irSz7Q86n7
— AnalyzingAmerica (@AnalyzAmerica) November 23, 2023
Veteran Republican pollster Neil Newhouse emphasized that while polls aren’t necessarily predictive a year out, the Biden campaign should not ignore them at their own risk.
“Predictions more than a year out tend to look a little different a year later,” Biden campaign spokesperson Kevin Munoz said earlier this month.
“Don’t take our word for it: Gallup predicted an eight point loss for President Obama only for him to win handedly a year later,” Munoz added.
Veteran Republican pollster Neil Newhouse noted that polls “aren’t necessarily predictive a year out.”
“But that doesn’t mean you ignore these polls and they [Biden’s campaign] do so at their own risk,” he emphasized.
CNN Poll: 74% of Americans deliver BAD NEWS to Biden… https://t.co/uyUkIyBGps pic.twitter.com/zjLkC78s9x
— AnalyzingAmerica (@AnalyzAmerica) November 11, 2023
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