Trump holds big lead
CBS News
In the most recent Rasmussen poll, former President Donald Trump is now ahead of President Joe Biden by eight points.
49 percent
CBS News
Trump currently holds 49 percent support, while Biden has 41 percent.
Three-way race
CBS News
Even in a three-way race involving Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump maintains a lead of six points, with 44 percent support compared to Biden’s 38 percent and Kennedy’s 10 percent.
Significant lead
CBS News
When considering two third-party candidates, Trump maintains a significant lead of seven points, with 45 percent support compared to Biden’s 38 percent.
Additional candidates
CBS News
The additional candidates, Kennedy at 9 percent, Cornel West at 2 percent, and Jill Stein at 1 percent, contribute to the overall distribution of support.
Favorable trends
CBS News
The internal data reveals favorable trends for Trump. In a head-to-head contest, Biden secures only 48 percent of the black vote, while Trump garners 39 percent.
In favor of Biden
CBS News
Typically, this margin should be more in favor of Biden at around 80/20.
Trump outperforms
ABC News
Additionally, Trump outperforms Biden among Hispanic voters, leading 48 to 37 percent, a ratio that ideally should be closer to 70/30.
18-39 age group
ABC News
In the 18-39 age group, Biden holds a narrow lead of just one point, with 43 percent support compared to Trump’s 42 percent.
Unfavorable for Biden
ABC News
Even when all five candidates are considered, the outlook remains unfavorable for Biden.
18-39 vote
ABC News
He received only 44 percent of the black vote, 29 percent of the Hispanic vote, and 37 percent of the 18-39 vote.
Trump secured
CBS News
In contrast, Trump secured 26 percent of the black vote, 48 percent of the Hispanic vote (a 19-point lead over Biden), and 37 percent of the 18-39 vote.
Rasmussen Reports
ABC News
According to a recent survey by Rasmussen Reports involving 1,099 likely voters from March 31 to April 2, there has been no change from their earlier poll in early March, which indicated that Trump held a consistent eight-point lead at 49 to 41 percent.
2024 general election
CBS News
In the RealClearPolitics poll tracking 2024 general election data, there has been minimal variation over the past month.
March 4
ABC News
On March 4, Trump was ahead by two points. Presently, he leads by 0.6 points, with 46.7 percent compared to Biden’s 46.1 percent.
2020 election
ABC News
It’s worth noting that during the 2020 election, Trump never trailed Biden by less than four points in the same poll.
Swing states
ABC News
Trump’s performance in swing states is currently stronger than in both the 2020 and 2016 elections.
Polling expectations
ABC News
Additionally, Trump notably exceeded polling expectations in both the 2016 and 2020 elections. This trend may explain the eagerness of some Democratic and media circles to discredit Trump.
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