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Poll: Only 24% of Independents Say Joe Biden Will Win Reelection

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A YouGov poll found low confidence in President Biden’s chances of reelection in 2024. Only 24% of independent voters believe Biden will defeat Trump if they are the candidates.

Among Democrats, Biden’s support was higher at 72% but still under three-quarters.

Just 78% of those planning to vote for Biden think he will win, compared to 85% of prospective Trump voters believing in Trump’s chances.

Overall, a plurality of 44% said Trump would beat Biden, versus 37% for Biden. Even among black voters, where Biden had majority support at 62%, over 1 in 5 remained undecided.

The poll showed Biden lacks assurance from independents and confidence in his electability is uncertain, except among his strongest Democratic supporters.

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