Democratic support among key voter groups is declining as cities spend millions assisting illegal migrants.
A pollster cited a survey finding black male voters are drawn to Trump’s message that migrant surges strain resources, diverting aid from citizens.
“Black men are drawn to former President Donald Trump. His critique that the surge of illegal immigrants is a drain on America rings true to them,” TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence president Raghavan Mayur said.
As immigration has risen as a top issue, his analysis and other polls show a majority see migrants increasing crime and economic burdens.
Support for border walls is also at a record high.
“Now what is happening is that the government resources that used to go to help them in cities, that is being diverted to migrants. They’re asking, ‘Hey, what’s happening? You guys are cutting this stuff, and you are spending it on migrants,’” Mayur said.
“There is a change here, and that is caused by all the flood of migrants into the sanctuary cities. What once was basically dismissed by many as a sort of right-wing thing, it’s no more that,” he said. “There has never been a time where this issue is as wide open as it is now.”
The pollster believes uncontrolled immigration is unintentionally hurting Democrats in the short term by alienating black voters and others who rely on government assistance.
“This is an unintended consequence of uncontrolled immigration. It’s basically coming back to hurt Democrats,” Mayur said. “I’m not sure whether over the long term they may benefit, but at least in the short term, over the next year or so, it is hurting them.”
A University of Houston survey found Biden losing Latino voters in Texas to Trump by 6 points in a hypothetical rematch, undermining Democratic assumptions that lax immigration policies would boost Latino support.
“The poll unsurprisingly projected that Biden and Trump were headed to another showdown in November, and that Trump was leading Biden in that rematch by 9% in Texas,” Bill King of Real Clear Politics wrote. “However, what I suspect the Biden campaign team found shocking was that Biden was losing to Trump with Latino voters by a 47-41 margin.
“Only 55% of Latino Democratic primary voters said they were committed to vote for Biden. The other 45% were undecided,” King wrote.
