The U.S. struggles to negotiate an AI deal with China due to concerns over China’s motives and the potential risks of giving up critical advantages in AI development.
Gordon Chang, a senior fellow at the Gatestone Institute, wrote, “Whatever China wants is almost certainly not in the interest of either the United States or the international community.”
“The risk is that, in another unenforceable agreement, the United States will forego employing critical advantages that AI affords in targeting conventional munitions,” he continued.
While discussions have taken place between the two countries and there is talk of an agreement, critics doubt its enforceability and benefits for the U.S.
Challenges include monitoring military tech, lack of leverage over China, and concerns about tech transfer.
Experts warn that any deal could potentially boost China’s development at the expense of U.S. interests, with China having advantages like asymmetric data and quick scalability.
The lack of reciprocity in market access and doubts about China’s reliability as a partner further complicate the situation.
Nathan Picarsic, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies said, “We don’t have any leverage, and part and parcel of not having leverage, particularly as it concerns commercial approaches to artificial intelligence, is that we don’t have reciprocity in market access and interaction in the Chinese market.”
Picarsic stated that without the leverage, “There’s no way for us to police or enforce what’s going on in the Chinese domestic market, and our commercial actors, who are the ones at the cutting edge of artificial intelligence … if they have leverage, they’re incentivized to trade it in exchange for market access.”
“I don’t think there’s a deal with China that makes sense,” lamented the researcher.
“They’ve proven to be an unreliable partner, and their incentives and positioning here are disadvantageous in a way that we don’t get anything from a deal,” he concluded.
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