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Will AI Ever Outsmart Humans? In Some Ways, It Already Has

via Tesla
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Experts have varying opinions on whether AI has already surpassed human intelligence in certain tasks.

While some believe AI is already outsmarting humans in specific areas, others argue that such concerns are exaggerated.

The potential impact of AI on society is a subject of debate, with some warning of dangerous scenarios if AI falls into the wrong hands.

“If you define it as performing intellectual but repetitive and bounded problems, they already are smarter. The best chess players and GO players are machines. And soon we can train them to do all tasks like that. Examples include legal analysis, simple writing and creating pictures on demand,” Center for Advanced Preparedness and Threat Response Simulation founder Phil Siegel said.

“They can write short stories now, but they need lots more information about human nature to write a bestseller. They can write a movie, but maybe not a hit movie. They can write a scientific paper but can’t execute all the instructions to perform a complex atomic level experiment at a supercollider,” Siegel said.

“Maybe someday they can do those things as well, but we need lots of data to train them to do things like that well. Then there is maybe another level — training them to read human nature on the fly to do complex decision-making like running a company or a university. The level of training for humans is so complex and not well understood for those tasks that it could take a very, very long time and huge computation for them to be superior at those tasks,” he noted.

“It’s not a question of if AI will outsmart us but when. We simply cannot compete with the raw processing power.”

“AI is a relatively young field and products like ChatGPT can already do complex tasks and solve problems in a matter of seconds that would take humans months of complex thought and lifetimes of practice. So, in some ways, it already has outsmarted us,” The Federalist’s Samuel Mangold-Lenett stated.

“Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is something else that needs to be considered. Theoretically, AGI can surpass all the intellectual capabilities of man and can perform every economically important task. It may be better to ask whether AI is capable of attaining sentience and what this means for humanity.”

“It’s not a question of if AI will outsmart us but when. We simply cannot compete with the raw processing power,” American Principles Project policy director Jon Schweppe said. “This is the appeal and the value [added] of AI — the ability for a computer to process data and produce output in a much more rapid and efficient way than if humans were doing the work. But this will obviously have incredible effects on society — some good and some bad — so it will be important for our lawmakers to guide the tech companies and help them to chart a responsible path forward.”

However, others emphasize the positive potential of AI, suggesting that responsible development and deployment can enhance human capabilities rather than replace them.

“Our growing obsession with hypothetical Skynet situations has been derailing the serious policy conversations we need to have now about developing and deploying Al responsibly,” Pioneer Development Group chief analytics officer Christopher Alexander said.

“U.S. autonomous weapons systems, by policy design, are not allowed to kill human beings without a human approving, but consider this very plausible scenario: A defense contractor develops an AI that can control autonomous vehicles. The project is canceled, and the AI is incredibly effective but has some flaws. The Chinese, who have already stolen trillions of dollars of U.S. intellectual property over the past decade, steal the AI. The Chinese use the flawed AI in an autonomous drone and it runs [amok], killing innocent people and damaging property for two hours,” Alexander added. “This won’t end the world, but it is certainly possible.”

“At this stage, the fear of superintelligent Al bringing about some form of techno-dystopia feels misplaced. These sci-fi doomsday scenarios have become a major distraction from the real and pressing issues we face with Al policy today,” Heritage Foundation’s Tech Policy Center research associate Jake Denton said. “Our growing obsession with hypothetical Skynet situations has been derailing the serious policy conversations we need to have now about developing and deploying Al responsibly.”

“AI progress does not have to be catastrophic or dystopian. In fact, these technologies can greatly empower and enhance human productivity and performance across industries. Al does not necessarily have to replace human workers but can rather amplify their capabilities,” Denton said. “The path forward we should strive for is not Al displacing labor but rather augmenting it. We have an opportunity to uplift humanity through optimizing the interplay between human strengths and Al capabilities.”

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