A recent study predicts a population decline in thousands of American cities over the next 80 years, with almost half of nearly 30,000 cities expected to experience a decline by 2100.
This could lead to challenges such as a loss of basic services and a dwindling tax base.
The study also highlights that suburban and periurban cities may attract more residents, exacerbating resource distribution challenges.
According to the study, “Simultaneously, increasing population trends in resource-intensive suburban and periurban cities will probably take away access to much needed resources in depopulating areas, further exacerbating their challenges.”
“Although immigration could play a vital role, resource distribution challenges will persist unless a paradigm shift happens away from growth-based planning alone,” the report continued.
The research suggests that urban cities with lower median household incomes in the Northeast and Midwest are more likely to experience depopulation, while Hawaii and the District of Columbia are predicted to experience no loss of people.
The phenomenon is also observed in major metropolitan centers, with surrounding suburban and periurban areas attracting residents.
Lastly, there has been an exodus of residents from blue states like California and New York to Southern red states post-COVID-19 pandemic, driven by high costs of living and steep taxes.
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