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Under 100 Hours Left: Trump Poised to Dominate Republicans In Iowa

via ABC News
This article was originally published at StateOfUnion.org. Publications approved for syndication have permission to republish this article, such as Microsoft News, Yahoo News, Newsbreak, UltimateNewswire and others. To learn more about syndication opportunities, visit About Us.

The 2024 Republican presidential nomination campaign is underway, with Iowa hosting the first caucus.

Former President Donald Trump leads in polls, but faces competition from Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, and others.

Iowa’s caucuses are significant as they can influence the trajectory of the race. (Trending: GOP Rep. Mace Clashes Directly With Hunter Biden At Hearing)

“The critical thing about Iowa is that because it’s first, it tends to frame the debate,” political science professor emeritus Michael Lewis-Beck said.

“If you do well in Iowa, that gives you a leg up when you go into New Hampshire. And if you do well in Iowa and New Hampshire, that’s more momentum,” he added.

“It’s not foolproof — it doesn’t mean you’ll be your party’s nominee — but it’s a big deal.”

“In 2016, Donald Trump didn’t win the caucuses, but he finished second, and he didn’t have a real strong presence in Iowa in terms of his actually being here,” political science professor Christopher Larimer said.

“This cycle, he’s been in the state more frequently, but my understanding is that the organizations of Haley and DeSantis are stronger, and they have been in the state constantly,” Larimer added.

“I think that there’s always that question: How much does grassroots politics, retail politics, still matter?” Larimer said. “Or should we just treat Trump differently? Because he’s such a different candidate than we’ve ever seen.”

The caucus system demands commitment from voters, and extreme weather conditions may impact turnout.

“It’s going to be rough,” Lewis-Beck said. “This will really be an organizational challenge for the campaigners and their staffs.”

“Local folks, of course, they’ll know how to get to City Hall or wherever they’re going to go, but I would say turnout is going to be lower,” he said.

Unlike previous years, Democrats will not caucus on the same night, and they have transitioned to a mail-in voting system.

Their results will be announced on “Super Tuesday,” along with 15 other states.

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